Finansg\u00fcndem – Piyasalar yeni haftada 20 Nisan’da T\u00fcrkiye, 21 Nisan’da Avrupa Merkez Bankalar\u0131 faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 izleyecek.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Dolar\/TL kurunda, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirim beklentisinden beslenen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00f6z konusu. \u0130lk diren\u00e7ler 2.87-2.88 TL seviyeleri. Bu seviyelerin ge\u00e7ilmesi durumunda 2.93 TL g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Bu seviyeyi ge\u00e7emeyen y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketi tepki boyutunda kalacak. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 2.83 ilk destek noktas\u0131.
\nDozu art\u0131p eksilse de iyimserlik korunuyor. FED\u2019in (ABD\u00a0Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m politikas\u0131n\u0131n yerini temkinli duru\u015fa b\u0131rakmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, d\u0131\u015f piyasalardaki olumlu havan\u0131n i\u00e7eriye yans\u0131malar\u0131,\u00a0T\u00fcrkiye\u00a0Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan faiz indirim beklentisinin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131 ve yeni ba\u015fkana piyasalar\u0131n\u00a0kredi\u00a0tan\u0131mas\u0131 iyimserli\u011fin nedenleri olarak s\u0131ralanabilir. Bu geli\u015fmelerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131\u00a0giri\u015fleriyle fiyatlanmas\u0131 borsalarda y\u00fckseli\u015f, faiz oranlar\u0131 ve\u00a0d\u00f6viz\u00a0kurlar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olarak kendini g\u00f6sterdi. Sonraki a\u015famada\u00a0Merkez Bankas\u0131\u00a0faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi nedeniyle d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi bu a\u00e7\u0131dan piyasalar\u0131 pek rahats\u0131z etmedi. Piyasalar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan temel gerek\u00e7e a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve faizlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi. Hat\u0131rlan\u0131rsa 20 Mart\u2019ta \u201cD\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz borsalara yar\u0131yor\u201d \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmam\u0131z\u0131 bu sayfalarda payla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k.<\/p>\n
Ter\u00f6r, d\u0131\u015far\u0131da negatif faiz uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n yarar zarar analizlerinin s\u0131kl\u0131k kazanmas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 6.7 ile\u00a0son\u00a0yedi y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi, Suriye gibi konu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131na duyarl\u0131l\u0131k bu a\u015famada zay\u0131f. Ancak bir s\u00fcredir olumlu geli\u015fmeleri fiyatlara dahil eden borsada k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 gerek\u00e7esi olarak olumsuz say\u0131labilecek\u00a0g\u00fcndem\u00a0konular\u0131na daha duyarl\u0131 hale gelebilir. Zira orta uzun d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in olmazsa da k\u0131sa d\u00f6nem primli bir\u00a0borsa, geri \u00e7ekilmi\u015f faiz ve\u00a0d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131\u00a0s\u00f6z konusu. Di\u011fer yandan, \u00c7in\u2019de zay\u0131flayan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin FED\u2019in temkinli faiz politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in refenas olarak al\u0131nmas\u0131 da m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. \u0130yimserlik s\u00fcrmekle birlikte daha yorgun bir borsa g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. 19 Nisan\u2019daki Merkez Bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkanl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimiyle 20 Nisan T\u00fcrkiye, 21 Nisan Avrupa Merkez Bankalar\u0131 faiz kararlar\u0131 izlenecek \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem konular\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n
BORSADA \u00c7IKI\u015e TREND\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f trendi devam eden borsada ilk diren\u00e7 86.300 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu seviyelerde k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. 86.300 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nmas\u0131 durumunda ise \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n devam\u0131yla birlikte 87.500-88.000 ve 90.000 sonraki diren\u00e7 seviyeleri. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 84.350 ve 83.000 tutunma noktalar\u0131. 83.000 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f hareketi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc koruyacak. \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f trendi s\u00fcrmekle birlikte diren\u00e7 seviyelerinde k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n DOLARDA TEPK\u0130 Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015e\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n Dolar\/TL kurunda, d\u0131\u015far\u0131da dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131ndan daha \u00e7ok i\u00e7eride merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirim beklentisinden beslenen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00f6z konusu. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan ise \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f formasyonlar\u0131ndan \u201cAl\u00e7alan takoz\u201d formasyonununun etkisinde. \u0130lk diren\u00e7ler 2.87-2.88 seviyelerinde. Bu seviyelerin ge\u00e7ilmesi durumunda sonraki 2.93 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. 2.93 seviyesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trend direnci olmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. Bu seviyeyi ge\u00e7emeyen y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketi tepki boyutunda kalacak. Geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 2.83 ilk destek noktas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken sonraki destekler 2.80-2.78 ve 2.76 seviyelerinde. Sat\u0131\u015f denemeleri g\u00f6r\u00fclse de tepki \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131 bu a\u015famada daha olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n T\u00dcRK\u0130YE DI\u015e T\u0130CARETTE YER\u0130N\u0130 KORUDU<\/strong><\/p>\n D\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in iyi ge\u00e7medi. \u0130hracat d\u00fc\u015ferken ithalat ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da geriledi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l, 2014 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re ihracat 157 milyar dolardan 143 milyar dolara gerilerken ithalat 242\u2019den 207\u2019ye, d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da 84\u2019den 63 milyar dolara geriledi. Bu verilere paralel olarak 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131k da 32 milyar\u00a0dolarolarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019n\u0131n\u00a0d\u00fcnya\u00a0klasman\u0131ndaki yerinde ise pek de\u011fi\u015fim olmad\u0131. D\u00fcnyada 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ticarette genel bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var. K\u00fcresel ekonomideki yava\u015flama d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine de yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f haliyle. \u00d6rne\u011fin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en fazla ihracat yapan \u00fclkesi olan \u00c7in\u2019in 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 ihracat\u0131 2.34 trilyon dolar iken 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2.28 trilyon dolar seviyesine \u00e7ekildi. Benzer gerileme ilk \u00fc\u00e7 s\u0131rada yer alan ABD ve Almanya i\u00e7in de ge\u00e7erli. \u0130hracat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri y\u00fczde olarak \u00c7in\u2019de 2.5, ABD\u2019de 7.1, Almanya\u2019da 11.2 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ise 8.7 gerileme var. \u0130thalatta da benzer g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm s\u00f6z konusu. Durum b\u00f6yle olunca T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin gerek ihracat, gerekse ithalat ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131k s\u0131ralamas\u0131ndaki yerleri genelde korunmu\u015f oldu. D\u00fcnya ihracat\u0131nda 30, ithalat\u0131nda 19. s\u0131rada yer alan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda Fransa\u2019n\u0131n hemen ard\u0131ndan be\u015finci s\u0131ralarda yer almas\u0131 ise dikkat \u00e7ekici. Umar\u0131z 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 hem T\u00fcrkiye hem de d\u00fcnya ticareti a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha canl\u0131 olur. Finansg\u00fcndem – Piyasalar yeni haftada 20 Nisan’da T\u00fcrkiye, 21 Nisan’da Avrupa Merkez Bankalar\u0131 faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 izleyecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":3446,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=687"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":689,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687\/revisions\/689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nZEYNEL BALCI – H\u00dcRR\u0130YET<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"