Bloomberght – Moody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2015 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2,8<\/p>\n
Moody’s’in K\u0131demli T\u00fcrkiye Analisti Banerji, “T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyoruz” dedi<\/p>\n
Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s’in K\u0131demli T\u00fcrkiye Analisti Alpona Banerji, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (Fed) olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fini belirterek, “T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyoruz” dedi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notu ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin 5 Aral\u0131k Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011ferlendirme yapmas\u0131 beklenen Moody’s’in K\u0131demli Analisti Banerji, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerini AA muhabiriyle payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Gelecek y\u0131l Fed’in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ili\u015fkili zorluklar\u0131n, b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinin d\u0131\u015f finansmana olan ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerle birlikte T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Banerji, T\u00fcrkiye’nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ili\u015fkin \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n
“2014 sonu itibariyle T\u00fcrkiye’deki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, azalan sermaye giri\u015fi, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve faiz oranlar\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi olas\u0131 de\u011fil. Bunlar\u0131n i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimi ve yat\u0131r\u0131m aktivitesini azaltmas\u0131 bekleniyor. T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyoruz. \u00d6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye’nin durumunda, se\u00e7im ortam\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemek ve yap\u0131sal de\u011fi\u015fimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek aras\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa vadeli gerilimi y\u00f6netmek daha zorla\u015f\u0131yor.”<\/p>\n
Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (ECB) varl\u0131k al\u0131m program\u0131 yoluyla bilan\u00e7osunu geni\u015fletme iste\u011finin Avro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in kredi destekleyici oldu\u011funu dile getiren Banerji, “Fakat bu durum T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fmekte olan piyasalar i\u00e7in daha az etkili” dedi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde \u00c7in’deki b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131ndan do\u011frudan etkilenmeyece\u011fini aktaran Alpona Banerji, “T\u00fcrkiye’nin toplam ihracat\u0131 i\u00e7inde \u00c7in’in pay\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,3 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye, \u00c7in’deki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n etkilerine daha az maruz kalacak” de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler Fed’de olacak<\/strong><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Moody’s K\u00fcresel \u00dclke Riskleri Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Alastair Wilson da Fed’in olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilere yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n Wilson, “Piyasalar ileriye bak\u0131yor. Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir beklenti var. Olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke ekonomileri ve notlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olacakt\u0131r” dedi.<\/p>\n Buna kar\u015f\u0131n 2013 ve bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda olaylar\u0131n nas\u0131l beklentilerin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak kur bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratabildi\u011fini ve sermaye ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan terse d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fler olu\u015fturabildi\u011finin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulayan Wilson, bu ko\u015fullar\u0131n yeniden olu\u015fmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, etkinin en \u00e7ok T\u00fcrkiye gibi d\u0131\u015f sermaye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 ekonomilerde hissedilece\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin birbirinden farkl\u0131 yerel ve b\u00f6lgesel itici unsurlara sahip oldu\u011funu anlatan Wilson, “ABD ve \u00c7in’in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi d\u00fcnyadaki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00f6nemli itici g\u00fc\u00e7leri. \u00c7in’in beklenenden daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin etkisi genel olarak k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerinde negatif” dedi.<\/p>\n Wilson, “Bizim \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcm\u00fcz \u00c7in’in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 y\u0131l boyunca y\u00fczde 6,5 ve y\u00fczde 7,5 aras\u0131nda bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedebilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Avro B\u00f6lgesi bu s\u00fcrede y\u00fczde 1-2 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek” \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerinde bulundu.<\/p>\n T\u00fcrkiye de\u011ferlendirmesi<\/strong><\/p>\n 11 Nisan’da T\u00fcrkiye’nin “yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir” notunu teyit etmesine kar\u015f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’nin d\u0131\u015f finansman pozisyonu \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131 ve zay\u0131flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek kredi notu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc dura\u011fandan negatife \u00e7eviren Moody’s, 16 May\u0131s 2013’te T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu “yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131labilir” \u00fclkeler kategorisine \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bloomberght – Moody’s’in T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2015 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2,8 Moody’s’in K\u0131demli T\u00fcrkiye Analisti Banerji, “T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyoruz” dedi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":1899,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=397"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":398,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/397\/revisions\/398"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=397"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=397"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=397"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}