Finansgundem- Merkez Bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefleri tutturamazken T\u00fcrkiye’yi s\u0131cak para cennetine \u00e7eviriyor
\nerkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n, \u00fc\u00e7 kez tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi enflasyonla m\u00fccadele politikas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’ye faturas\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn kabar\u0131yor. 28 Ocak’ta 5.5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 faizi 8 ay boyunca sadece 1.75 puan indiren Merkez b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi frenlerken, di\u011fer yandan da s\u0131cak paraya davetiye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.
\nB\u00dcY\u00dcMEY\u0130 DURDURDU
\nSabah’\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, ilk \u00e7eyrekte, ihracat\u0131n katk\u0131s\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4.7 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen T\u00fcrkiye, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ise y\u00fczde 2.1 b\u00fcy\u00fcyebildi. ABD ekonomisi ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4.6 ile 2011’in son \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi kaydetti. \u0130kinci \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yurti\u00e7i t\u00fcketim 0.3, devletin nihai t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 0.3 puan yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerken, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ise 0.9 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyrekte de b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi 0.3 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar kaleminde y\u0131ll\u0131k daralma y\u00fczde 3.5’e ula\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki y\u0131ll\u0131k daralma ise y\u00fczde 4 oldu. Bunda Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n ocak sonunda ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc toplanarak faizleri rekor seviyede y\u00fckseltme etkili oldu.
\nSICAK PARAYA DAVET\u0130YE
\nMerkez Bankas\u0131 ocak sonundaki rekor art\u0131r\u0131mdan sonra \u00fc\u00e7 ay boyunca faizde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmedi. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te yerel se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan siyasi istikrar alg\u0131s\u0131 zirveye \u00e7\u0131karken, ABD’nin faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalar da ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te faiz indirimi yapmay\u0131p sonraki 5 ayda ise sadece 1.75 puanl\u0131k indirim ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi, T\u00fcrkiye’yi s\u0131cak para cenneti haline getirdi. \u015eubat-a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye’ye yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 milyar dolarl\u0131k s\u0131cak para giri\u015fi oldu. Dolardaki son art\u0131\u015f\u0131n reel sekt\u00f6re faturas\u0131 ise 30 milyar liraya ula\u015ft\u0131.
\nMERKEZ’\u0130N DOLARLA \u0130MT\u0130HANI
\nMerkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar T\u00fcrkiye’yi ‘y\u00fcksek enflasyon, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme, y\u00fcksek cari a\u00e7\u0131k’ \u00fc\u00e7genine s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanaca\u011f\u0131 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch T\u00fcrkiye’yle ilgili g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmenin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Faiz indirimlerinde ge\u00e7 kalan Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n ABD’nin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 yeni d\u00f6nemde dolarla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in kullanaca\u011f\u0131 ara\u00e7lar da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. D\u00f6viz sat\u0131m miktar\u0131n\u0131 40 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p, likiditeyi k\u0131san Merkez Bankas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015f rakam\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Merkez Bankas\u0131 t\u00fcm fonlamay\u0131 faiz koridorunun \u00fcst band\u0131 olan y\u00fczde 11.25’ten yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 istisnai g\u00fcnlere geri d\u00f6nebilir. Son ihtimal ise d\u00f6vize do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale.
\nT\u00dcRK\u0130YE’YE \u00d6DET\u0130LEN FATURA
\n* \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4.7 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 2.1’e indi.
\n* T\u00fcrkiye ikinci \u00e7eyrekte ABD’nin yar\u0131s\u0131 kadar bile b\u00fcy\u00fcyemedi.
\n* Y\u00fcksek faiz politikas\u0131 \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu.
\n* \u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ilk \u00e7eyrekte 0.3, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte 0.9 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti.
\n* T\u00fcrkiye’yi s\u0131cak paraya mahkum etti. 7 ayda giren s\u0131cak para 6 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.
\n* S\u0131cak para ile T\u00fcrkiye spek\u00fclatif sald\u0131r\u0131lara a\u00e7\u0131k hale geldi.
\n* Kurdaki son art\u0131\u015f\u0131n sanayiciye faturas\u0131 30 milyar TL.
\n* Tahminlerin bile tutmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon y\u00fczde 9.54 ile \u00e7ift haneye dayand\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Finansgundem- Merkez Bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedefleri tutturamazken T\u00fcrkiye’yi s\u0131cak para cennetine \u00e7eviriyor erkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n, \u00fc\u00e7 kez tahminini de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi enflasyonla m\u00fccadele politikas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’ye faturas\u0131 her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn kabar\u0131yor. 28 Ocak’ta 5.5 puan art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 faizi 8 ay boyunca sadece 1.75 puan indiren Merkez b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi frenlerken, di\u011fer yandan da s\u0131cak paraya davetiye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":2457,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=195"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":197,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195\/revisions\/197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=195"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=195"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=195"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}