{"id":1727,"date":"2016-11-16T12:12:39","date_gmt":"2016-11-16T10:12:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/?p=1727"},"modified":"2016-11-16T12:12:39","modified_gmt":"2016-11-16T10:12:39","slug":"eurodolar-paritesinde-trump-etkisi-suruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/eurodolar-paritesinde-trump-etkisi-suruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro\/dolar paritesinde Trump etkisi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"col-lg-12 col-md-12 col-sm-12 col-xs-12 authorNameDate\">Bloomberght &#8211; Euro\/dolar paritesi, Trump zaferinin ard\u0131ndan 1,07&#8217;ye kadar gerileyerek son 11 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Rabobank D\u00f6viz Ba\u015fstratejisti Foley, &#8220;12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde parite 1,14 seviyesine y\u00fckselebilir&#8221; dedi<\/h2>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;de Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti aday\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n se\u00e7im zaferinin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015fi h\u0131z kazanan dolar, sadece geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil, euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da ata\u011fa ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;de ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imini Trump&#8217;\u0131n kazanmas\u0131yla k\u00fcresel piyasalarda belirsizlik artarken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 da azald\u0131. Trump belirsizli\u011fiyle ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizleri ve dolar endeksi, sert y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydetti. Sadece geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin para birimleri \u00fczerinde de bask\u0131 olu\u015fturan dolar, euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda da h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (ECB) politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Trump&#8217;la birlikte ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (Fed) ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlar da Avrupa taraf\u0131nda merak konusu oldu. Trump yoluyla Fed&#8217;den kaynaklanacak riskler Avrupa&#8217;da endi\u015fe yaratmaya devam ederken, Avrupa&#8217;da milliyet\u00e7i, korumac\u0131 ve pop\u00fclist partilerin y\u00fckselmesi de euro \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in faizleri h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentileri de paritede gerilemelere yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Euro\/dolar paritesi, bug\u00fcn 1,07&#8217;ye kadar gerileyerek son 11 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Commerzbank: Trump&#8217;\u0131n yapacaklar\u0131 konusundaki belirsizlik durumu y\u00fcksek<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Commerzbank D\u00f6viz Stratejisti Thu Lan Nguyen, AA muhabirine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, paritenin gerilemesinin ana nedeninin dolardaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme oldu\u011funu belirterek, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Piyasalarda Trump&#8217;\u0131n enflasyonu canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131n Fed&#8217;in faizleri art\u0131rma konusunda daha agresif davranmas\u0131na sebep olaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler bulunuyor. Ancak bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de yeterince g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil. Trump&#8217;\u0131n yapacaklar\u0131 konusundaki belirsizlik durumu y\u00fcksek. Mali planlar\u0131 nas\u0131l olacak ya da korumac\u0131 ticaret politikalar\u0131n\u0131 uygulayacak m\u0131? Bunlar belirsiz.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Nguyen, piyasalar\u0131n Trump&#8217;\u0131n g\u00fcndemindeki konular\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirip ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyece\u011fi konusunda izlemede olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu durumda da euro\/dolar paritesinin 1,05 seviyelerine kadar gerileyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rabobank: Dolar\u0131n yat\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorum<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Rabobank D\u00f6viz Ba\u015fstratejisti Jane Foley de ABD&#8217;de bundan sonra uygulanacak mali politikayla ilgili bir\u00e7ok bilinmeyen oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Foley, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n belirsizlikleri sevmedi\u011fini, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Janet Yellen&#8217;\u0131n piyasay\u0131 yumu\u015fatabilecek a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulunabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\u0131n yat\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunan Foley, 12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde euro\/dolar paritesinin 1,14 seviyesine y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;ndeki siyasi risklere de\u011finen Foley, gelecek y\u0131l \u0130talya&#8217;da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek referanduma, Fransa ve Hollanda&#8217;da yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlere dikkati \u00e7ekti. Foley, siyasi tansiyona neden olacak bu se\u00e7imlerin euro i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere sebep olabilece\u011fini ancak Euro B\u00f6lgesi&#8217;ndeki cari fazlan\u0131n bu riskleri s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bloomberght &#8211; Euro\/dolar paritesi, Trump zaferinin ard\u0131ndan 1,07&#8217;ye kadar gerileyerek son 11 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Rabobank D\u00f6viz Ba\u015fstratejisti Foley, &#8220;12 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde parite 1,14 seviyesine y\u00fckselebilir&#8221; dedi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":1504,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1727"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1727"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1727\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1728,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1727\/revisions\/1728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}