{"id":1528,"date":"2016-10-19T15:44:15","date_gmt":"2016-10-19T12:44:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/?p=1528"},"modified":"2016-10-19T15:44:15","modified_gmt":"2016-10-19T12:44:15","slug":"kuresel-kamu-borcu-bu-yil-11-trilyon-dolar-artacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/kuresel-kamu-borcu-bu-yil-11-trilyon-dolar-artacak\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel kamu borcu bu y\u0131l 11 trilyon dolar artacak"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bloomberght – IMF tahminlerine g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda 52 trilyon dolar olan k\u00fcresel kamu borcu 10,7 trilyon dolar artarak 2016 sonunda 62,7 trilyon dolara y\u00fckselecek<\/h2>\n

<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel kamu borcunun bu y\u0131l 10,7 trilyon dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla 2016 sonunda 62,7 trilyon dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel finansal krizden bu yana s\u00fcregelen b\u00fcy\u00fcyememe, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkesinde sorun olmaya devam ederken, bu durum bir taraftan merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n para politikalar\u0131nda “al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k” y\u00f6ntemleri g\u00fcndeme almas\u0131n\u0131, di\u011fer taraftan da i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 destekleyici reformlar\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 beraberinde getirdi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131 parasal geni\u015flemenin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra negatif politika faizi uygulamas\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin lokomotifi konumundaki \u00c7in ise b\u00fcy\u00fcme modelinde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi g\u00fcndemine alarak i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimi art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir yol se\u00e7mek zorunda kald\u0131. K\u00fcresel ticarette ba\u015f g\u00f6steren durgunluk, \u00c7in’i ihracat kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkilerken, \u00fclke ekonomisinde ivmeyi korumak ad\u0131na i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimi canland\u0131rma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi belirdi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, k\u00fcresel talebin azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para birimleri ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda volatiliteye yol a\u00e7arken, bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkede hayata ge\u00e7irilen i\u00e7 yat\u0131r\u0131m ve t\u00fcketimin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik edici reformlar da kamu borcunda y\u00fckseli\u015fe neden oldu.<\/p>\n

AA muhabirinin Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) tahminlerinden derledi\u011fi verilere g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel kamu br\u00fct borcu 2016 sonunda 62 trilyon 703,3 milyar dolar, d\u00fcnya milli geliri ise 74 trilyon 523 milyar dolar olacak. B\u00f6ylece k\u00fcresel kamu br\u00fct borcu, y\u0131l sonunda d\u00fcnya milli gelirinin y\u00fczde 84,1’ine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelecek.<\/p>\n

IMF’nin Ekim 2016 Mali G\u00f6zetim Raporu’nda, k\u00fcresel kamu borcunun ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda 52 trilyon dolar oldu\u011fu, bunun da d\u00fcnya milli gelirinin y\u00fczde 85’ine denk geldi\u011fi belirtilmi\u015fti. Bu da k\u00fcresel kamu borcunun bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda, 2015 sonuna k\u0131yasla 10,7 trilyon dolar daha artaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

– K\u00fcresel kamu borcunun y\u00fczde 84’\u00fc 11 \u00fclkeden<\/strong><\/p>\n

IMF’nin 181 \u00fclke i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminler, 2016 sonunda 11 \u00fclkenin kamu borcunun 1 trilyon dolar\u0131 a\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Kamu borcu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan listenin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 20,1 trilyon dolar ile ABD \u00e7ekerken, ABD’yi 11,8 trilyon dolar ile Japonya ve 5,3 trilyon dolar ile \u00c7in takip etti.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu listede, \u0130talya 2,5 trilyon dolarl\u0131k, Fransa, Almanya ve \u0130ngiltere 2,4’er trilyon dolarl\u0131k, Hindistan 1,5 trilyon dolarl\u0131k, Kanada ve Brezilya 1,4 trilyon dolarl\u0131k, \u0130spanya ise 1,3 trilyon dolarl\u0131k kamu borcuyla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu 11 \u00fclkenin toplam kamu borcu bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda 52,4 trilyon dolar\u0131 bulurken, bu da k\u00fcresel kamu borcunun y\u00fczde 83,6’s\u0131na denk geliyor.<\/p>\n

– 17 \u00fclkenin kamu borcu milli gelirinden fazla olacak<\/strong><\/p>\n

IMF’nin 2016 sonu tahminlerine kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, listenin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 250,4 ile Japonya’n\u0131n \u00e7ekti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu \u00fclkeyi y\u00fczde 183,4 ile Yunanistan takip ederken, L\u00fcbnan y\u00fczde 143,9 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kamu borcu milli gelirini a\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen di\u011fer \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda \u0130talya, Portekiz, Eritre, Ye\u015fil Burun Adalar\u0131 (Cabo Verde), Jamaika, Mozambik, ABD, K\u0131br\u0131s, Singapur, Bel\u00e7ika, Barbados, Butan, Libya ve \u0130spanya bulunuyor. B\u00f6ylece y\u0131l sonunda 17 \u00fclkenin kamu borcunun milli gelirinden fazla olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

– T\u00fcrkiye 39’uncu s\u0131rada<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’de ise kamu borcunun milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n 2016 sonunda y\u00fczde 31,7 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. T\u00fcrkiye, bu oranla 181 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda 39’uncu s\u0131rada yer alarak bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeyi geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6stergede T\u00fcrkiye’nin, en y\u00fcksek kamu borcuna sahip 30 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ise en iyi 3’\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fclke konumunda oldu\u011fu dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda T\u00fcrkiye’nin kamu borcunun 233 milyar dolar, milli gelirinin ise 735,7 milyar dolar seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

IMF’nin 2016 sonu tahminlerine g\u00f6re, en y\u00fcksek kamu borcuna sahip 30 \u00fclkenin verileri \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\u00dclkeler<\/td>\nGSMH (milyar dolar)<\/td>\nKamu borcu\/GSMH (%)<\/td>\nKamu borcu (milyar dolar)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/td>\nABD<\/td>\n18.561,9<\/td>\n108,2<\/td>\n20.093,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nJaponya<\/td>\n4.730,3<\/td>\n250,4<\/td>\n11.842,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\n\u00c7in<\/td>\n11.391,6<\/td>\n46,3<\/td>\n5.274,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\n\u0130talya<\/td>\n1.852,5<\/td>\n133,2<\/td>\n2.468,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nFransa<\/td>\n2.488,3<\/td>\n97,2<\/td>\n2.417,4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nAlmanya<\/td>\n3.494,9<\/td>\n68,2<\/td>\n2.382,4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\n\u0130ngiltere<\/td>\n2.649,9<\/td>\n89,0<\/td>\n2.358,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nHindistan<\/td>\n2.251,0<\/td>\n68,5<\/td>\n1.541,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nKanada<\/td>\n1.532,3<\/td>\n92,1<\/td>\n1.411,2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nBrezilya<\/td>\n1.769,6<\/td>\n78,3<\/td>\n1.385,2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\n\u0130spanya<\/td>\n1.252,2<\/td>\n100,1<\/td>\n1.253,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nMeksika<\/td>\n1.063,6<\/td>\n56,0<\/td>\n595,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nKore<\/td>\n1.404,4<\/td>\n38,9<\/td>\n546,4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nAvustralya<\/td>\n1.256,6<\/td>\n40,9<\/td>\n514,5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nBel\u00e7ika<\/td>\n470,2<\/td>\n105,8<\/td>\n497,6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nHollanda<\/td>\n769,9<\/td>\n63,5<\/td>\n489,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\nYunanistan<\/td>\n195,9<\/td>\n183,4<\/td>\n359,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\nAvusturya<\/td>\n387,3<\/td>\n84,9<\/td>\n328,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\nSingapur<\/td>\n296,6<\/td>\n106,4<\/td>\n315,5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\n\u0130svi\u00e7re<\/td>\n662,5<\/td>\n44,7<\/td>\n296,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21<\/td>\nArjantin<\/td>\n541,7<\/td>\n51,8<\/td>\n280,4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
22<\/td>\nPortekiz<\/td>\n205,9<\/td>\n128,4<\/td>\n264,4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
23<\/td>\nEndonezya<\/td>\n941,0<\/td>\n27,5<\/td>\n258,6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
24<\/td>\nPolonya<\/td>\n467,4<\/td>\n52,4<\/td>\n244,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
25<\/td>\nT\u00fcrkiye<\/td>\n735,7<\/td>\n31,7<\/td>\n233,0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
26<\/td>\n\u0130rlanda<\/td>\n307,9<\/td>\n74,6<\/td>\n229,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
27<\/td>\n\u0130sve\u00e7<\/td>\n517,4<\/td>\n42,7<\/td>\n221,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
28<\/td>\nRusya<\/td>\n1.267,8<\/td>\n17,1<\/td>\n216,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
29<\/td>\n\u0130srail<\/td>\n311,7<\/td>\n65,8<\/td>\n205,0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
30<\/td>\nTayvan<\/td>\n519,1<\/td>\n35,7<\/td>\n185,5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nTOPLAM (181 \u00fclke)<\/td>\n74.523,0<\/td>\n<\/td>\n62.703,3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bloomberght – IMF tahminlerine g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda 52 trilyon dolar olan k\u00fcresel kamu borcu 10,7 trilyon dolar artarak 2016 sonunda 62,7 trilyon dolara y\u00fckselecek<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":1472,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1528"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1528"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1528\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1529,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1528\/revisions\/1529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}