{"id":1474,"date":"2016-10-06T09:38:45","date_gmt":"2016-10-06T06:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/?p=1474"},"modified":"2016-10-06T09:38:45","modified_gmt":"2016-10-06T06:38:45","slug":"12-milyar-tllik-vergi-zammi-gelecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/12-milyar-tllik-vergi-zammi-gelecek\/","title":{"rendered":"12 milyar TL&#8217;lik vergi zamm\u0131 gelecek"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"col-lg-12 col-md-12 col-sm-12 col-xs-12 authorNameDate\">Bloomberght &#8211; Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n tan\u0131t\u0131mda yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u015faret ederek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bilerek fazla tutuldu\u011funu kaydetti\u011fi Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da belirtilen fazladan harcama 7.2 milyar TL olacak<\/h2>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n tan\u0131t\u0131mda yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u015faret ederek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bilerek fazla tutuldu\u011funu kaydetti\u011fi Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da belirtilen fazladan harcama 7.2 milyar TL olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131 ve yank\u0131lar\u0131 da s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. OVP\u2019de dikkat \u00e7eken iki konudan ilki b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru revizyon ikincisi ise b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n milli gelirin y\u00fczde 1.9\u2019u olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesiydi. B\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n devletin geliri ile gideri aras\u0131ndaki fark oldu\u011funu belirterek bu y\u00fczde 1.9\u2019un ne anlama geldi\u011fini irdeleyelim. H\u00fck\u00fcmet 2014\u2019te milli gelirin y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019si kadar b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 verdi. 2015\u2019te y\u00fczde 1.6\u2019s\u0131 kadar b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131yor. 2017\u2019de ise bu rakam\u0131n daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek GSYH\u2019nin y\u00fczde 1.9\u2019u kadar bir gelirden fazla harcama olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. Rakamlar\u0131 ortaya koyarsak \u00e7ok daha iyi anlayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A\u00c7IK 38.4 M\u0130LYAR L\u0130RA OLACAKTI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2014\u2019te milli gelir 1 trilyon 953 milyar lirayd\u0131. Bunun y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019si yani 23.5 milyar liral\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k olu\u015ftu. 2016\u2019da 2 trilyon 148 milyar lira olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen milli gelirin y\u00fczde 1.6\u2019s\u0131 olan 34.6 milyar a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 2017\u2019de ise bu rakam 0.3 puanl\u0131k fazladan a\u00e7\u0131k \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Rakamsal ifade olarak 46.9 milyarl\u0131k bir fazla harcama yani a\u00e7\u0131k \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. E\u011fer bu y\u0131l oldu\u011fu gibi b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 milli gelirin y\u00fczde 1.6\u2019s\u0131 olsayd\u0131 46.9 milyar yerine 38.4 milyar liral\u0131k bir a\u00e7\u0131k olacakt\u0131. Yani tam 7.2 milyar liral\u0131k bir ek harcama yap\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>DO\u011eU\u2019YA YATIRIMIN F\u0130NANSMANI<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m, a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mlar i\u00e7in bilerek fazla tutuldu\u011funu, otoyollar, havaalanlar\u0131 yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirttiyse de bu harcaman\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Do\u011fu\u2019ya yat\u0131r\u0131m paketi i\u00e7in yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 biliniyor. Y\u0131llar i\u00e7inde toplam 62 milyar liray\u0131 bulan Do\u011fu\u2019ya yat\u0131r\u0131m paketi otoyol, k\u00f6pr\u00fc, konut ve barajlar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra devletin fabrika kurup teslim etmesini bile i\u00e7eriyor. OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re devletin toplam harcamas\u0131 2017\u2019de 64 milyar lira artarak 645 milyar lira olacak. Bunun 58 milyar\u0131 faiz d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve 6 milyar liras\u0131 ise faiz harcamas\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynaklanacak. Faiz harcamalar\u0131 51.5 milyar liradan 57.8 milyar liraya ula\u015facak. E\u011fer 7.2 milyarl\u0131k ek harcama \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmeseydi artan harcama 56.8 milyar olacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>12 M\u0130LYAR TL\u2019L\u0130K VERG\u0130 ZAMMI GELECEK<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>OVP\u2019ye g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fcme 2017\u2019de 4.4 ve T\u00dcFE yani enflasyon ise y\u00fczde 6.5 olacak. Bu hesapla devletin gelirlerinin de normal olarak (4.4+6.5=10.9) y\u00fczde 10.9 artm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Vergi gelirleri de bu hesaba dahil. B\u00fcy\u00fcme harcamalar\u0131n, ekonomik aktivitenin art\u0131\u015f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fi ve enflasyon da fiyatlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve artan fiyat \u00fczerinden vergi al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in vergi gelirinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon kadar artmas\u0131 \u00e7ok normal bir duruma i\u015faret ediyor. Fazlas\u0131 ise ancak ba\u015fka bir durumun olaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. OVP\u2019de de 2017\u2019de vergi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 13.6 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f. Bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc \u015fu anlama geliyor: Vergi gelirlerinin enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00fcst\u00fcne y\u00fczde 2.68 daha fazla artmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Rakam olarak kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 12 milyar T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131. Yani 12 milyarl\u0131k bir ek vergi geliri \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc ise iki anlama geliyor. Ya kay\u0131td\u0131\u015f\u0131 kay\u0131t i\u00e7ine al\u0131nacak ya da 12 milyar TL\u2019lik ek vergi zamm\u0131 gelecek<\/p>\n<p><strong>2014\u2019E G\u00d6RE 16.8 MILYAR TL FAZLA<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer yandan 2014\u2019e g\u00f6re ise devletin 2017\u2019de b\u00fct\u00e7enin y\u00fczde 1.2\u2019si yerine 1.9\u2019u kadar a\u00e7\u0131k vermesi 16.8 milyar TL\u2019lik bir fazladan harcamay\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. E\u011fer h\u00fck\u00fcmet b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 2014 seviyesinde tutsayd\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k 28.8 milyar TL olacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bloomberght &#8211; Ba\u015fbakan Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n tan\u0131t\u0131mda yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u015faret ederek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bilerek fazla tutuldu\u011funu kaydetti\u011fi Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da belirtilen fazladan harcama 7.2 milyar TL olacak<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"views":727,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1474"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1474"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1475,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1474\/revisions\/1475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/adalethazar.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}